What the release of California prisoners shows about recidivism rates

What the release of California prisoners shows about recidivism rates

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What the release of California prisoners shows about recidivism rates

Joshua Crawford on the Conway and Larson Show
Originally aired May 15, 2025

In this radio interview, host Leland Conway and Joshua Crawford discuss the implications of prisoner releases in California. They cover:

 

  • Impact on recidivism rates and whether releases have led to increased reoffending.
  • The broader effects of the releases on community safety.
  • Lessons that can be learned from California’s approach when it comes to crafting effective criminal justice policies.

Listen to the Interview

What the release of California prisoners shows about recidivism rates

How to Fix Food Stamps? Wall Street Journal Looks to GCO’s Research for Answers

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How to Fix Food Stamps? Wall Street Journal Looks to GCO’s Research for Answers

In “The Case for Fixing Food Stamps,” the Wall Street Journal editorial board considers the federal budget debate on the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP).

They reference research published jointly by GCO and the American Enterprise Institute, which suggests how Congress can work more effectively with states to administer SNAP and get rid of program flaws that discourage work and upward mobility.

“But the food stamp dysfunction runs deeper. States manage the program but the feds pick up 100% of the benefits tab, which means states have an incentive to draw down more federal dollars. No wonder the program’s improper payment figure is north of 10%, according to Agriculture Department data.

Multiple policy analysts have proposals giving states a stake in the program, and President Trump’s 2018 budget included a version of the idea. Congress can ask states to pick up 10% of the benefits tab the first year, then 15% and perhaps eventually 25%. EPIC, the think tank, estimates the feds could save $250 billion over 10 years by phasing in a state share to 50%.

Governors of both parties won’t like a policy change that asks more of them. But states showed in the 1990s, after the federal welfare reform, that they could manage case loads and help people find their footing back into the private economy.

SNAP could use further reform because it discourages additional hours of work as recipients earn more income and lose benefits.”

Read the full article here.

 

What the release of California prisoners shows about recidivism rates

Why Kids Join Gangs—and How to Stop Them

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Why Kids Join Gangs—and How to Stop Them

By Joshua Crawford
Originally published on March 21, 2025, in City Journal

In Philadelphia last month, law enforcement announced the indictment of 12 teenagers for a series of violent crimes spanning two years. Calling themselves “The Senders,” the groups were charged with murder, 26 shootings, and multiple carjackings. One of the alleged shooters, now 19, is charged with nine shootings totaling 16 victims. Another was just 14 at the time of his alleged crime—a stark reminder of how gangs can entrench even the youngest members.

These alleged offenders’ ages may be shocking, but young people make up a much larger share of gangs than many realize. Survey data from the 1990s found that around 5 percent of young people were in gangs; the average age of joining a gang was 13. Gang-affiliated youth are far likelier to engage in serious crime than other at-risk youth or children with delinquent but non-gang-affiliated friends.

Governments have launched a wide array of prevention and intervention efforts to steer kids away from gang life. These programs try to dissuade youth from joining gangs or encourage them to leave. But the initiatives have had mixed results, and the ones that do work well often have limited access to at-risk kids.

To address the root problem, policymakers must understand why kids join gangs.

Read the full article here.

Joshua Crawford is the Director of Criminal Justice Initiatives at the Georgia Center for Opportunity and the author of “Kids and Community Violence: Costs, Consequences, and Solutions” in the newly edited volume Doing Right by Kids.

What the release of California prisoners shows about recidivism rates

A Path from Welfare to Self-Sufficiency

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A Path from Welfare to Self-Sufficiency

By Randy Hicks and Eric Cochling
Originally published on February 19, 2025, in Governing

Most state legislatures are in session right now. And while AI, education, housing and taxes will dominate headlines, policymakers should not overlook the importance of welfare reform. In particular, they should look for ways to help recipients move out of poverty so they can thrive on their own.

Accomplishing that would go a long way toward getting the costs of welfare under control. Social services programs, including Medicaid, Temporary Assistance for Needy Families and the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, are a primary driver of expanding state budgets. Welfare accounts for 45 percent of states’ direct general expenditures, the largest share of direct state spending.

In addition to the costs, the U.S. safety net system has grown increasingly complex. What started as just a handful of initiatives has evolved into a system of more than 80 programs, each with different goals, eligibility requirements and rules — a maze that is incredibly difficult for a policy wonk to navigate, let alone a recipient.

Costs and complexity are one thing if the system is truly helping people. But welfare does not well serve the low-income and marginalized communities it’s intended to help. While the safety net supports individuals so they can survive on a basic level, it does not move them out of poverty so they can flourish, thrive and reach their true potential. States should consider how to design their safety net systems so that they actually help Americans become permanently self-sufficient — and gain hope and dignity along the way.

Read the full article here.

Randy Hicks is president and CEO and Eric Cochling is chief program officer and general counsel of the Georgia Center for Opportunity.

What the release of California prisoners shows about recidivism rates

Strengthening Welfare: How DOGE Can Help Open Doors to Work and Opportunity

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Strengthening Welfare: How DOGE Can Help Open Doors to Work and Opportunity

By Randy Hicks
Originally published on February 3, 2025, in The Well News

As Department of Government Efficiency representatives make their rounds in federal agencies, one of their first priorities should be looking into the U.S. welfare system, which costs taxpayers $1.6 trillion per year.

DOGE representatives will likely have a hard time navigating what program or agency they should start with. As millions of welfare recipients know firsthand, DOGE can’t simply head to the Department of Health and Human Services to solve the problem — the safety net system is not stationed under one agency but rather spans numerous departments that have interrelated purposes but separate and often conflicting operational structures.

Since the adoption of the first federal welfare program in 1935, the safety net has grown into a convoluted maze of more than 80 programs, including 20 that provide education assistance, 17 that provide housing and 16 that offer various social services.

Millions of Americans navigate this complex web each day. They devote hours to calling or visiting multiple departments and sorting through overlapping or duplicate requirements and paperwork — all to make ends meet.

This fragmented setup could be left alone if we think the best we can do for people in poverty is to give them only enough to survive. But if there’s any reverberating takeaway from the last election, it’s that Americans expect their leaders to do everything in their power to tear down barriers to opportunity.

Read the full article here.

Randy Hicks is the president and chief executive officer of the Georgia Center for Opportunity.

What the release of California prisoners shows about recidivism rates

DC’s Amazon lawsuit reminds us that safety is a luxury for Black Americans

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DC’s Amazon lawsuit reminds us that safety is a luxury for Black Americans

By Joshua Crawford
Originally published on January 11, 2025, in The Hill

The Washington, D.C. attorney general has sued Amazon, alleging the e-commerce giant intentionally slowed service to two low-income, majority-Black neighborhoods in the district. Beginning in 2022, residents of ZIP codes 20019 and 20020 would receive packages much more slowly than the typical two-day shipping to which Prime customers are accustomed.

Amazon does not deny the delays. Instead, Amazon argues the changes were not based on prejudice or race-based decision-making, but rather a result of increased carjackings, homicides and other violent crimes in those neighborhoods.

Tragically, in some ways, both parties are correct. Black Americans have long bore the brunt of America’s violent crime problem, and things have gotten worse in recent years, especially in cities run by progressives.

From 2010 to 2020, the total share of U.S. violent crime victims who were Black increased by 3.2 percent to 32.7 percent of all crime victims. Over this same period, the share of Black Americans in the total U.S. population decreased from 13 percent to 12 percent.

While America was becoming more violent, it was Black Americans who felt the increase most acutely. Unfortunately, this isn’t new.

Read the full article here.

Joshua Crawford is the Director of Criminal Justice Initiatives at the Georgia Center for Opportunity and the author of “Kids and Community Violence: Costs, Consequences, and Solutions” in the newly edited volume Doing Right by Kids.