Stress cracks in the labor market

Stress cracks in the labor market

Stress cracks in the labor market

Key Points

  • There are more jobs available in America than ever before. 
  • There are more people NOT working in America than ever before.
  • At Georgia Center for Opportunity, we have created a two-step process to create meaningful, self-supportive work. 

“Never has work been so readily available in modern America; never have so many been uninterested in taking it.”

That’s a key point made by social scientist Nicholas Eberstadt in a new column for The Wall Street Journal. Eberstadt points out that even in an environment with historically low unemployment, the truth is that millions of workers are missing from the labor force. 

“We now face an unprecedented peacetime labor shortage, with employers practically begging for workers, while vast numbers of grown men and women sit on the sidelines of the economy—even though job applicants have more bargaining power in the ‘Great Resignation’ than at any time in recent history,” he writes.

Eberstadt points to the unprecedented federal government response to the pandemic as a key driver of the current quandary: stimulus payments, expanded child tax credits, and heightened unemployment benefits, to name a few.

The problems were evident before the pandemic but became worse after. “The current manpower shortage highlights the new face of the flight from work in modern America,” Eberstadt writes. “With pre-Covid rates of workforce participation, almost three million more men and women would be in our labor force today. Prime-age men account for only a small share of this shortfall: Half or more of the gap is owing to men and women 55 and older no longer working.”

Eberstadt has also written quite a bit on how people are spending their time as non-workers:

“Men 55 to 64 who were neither working nor looking for work … were kings of the screen, clocking in a self-reported 2,400 hours during 2020—possibly a new record in the inactivity olympics and nearly 300 hours more than a typical fulltime job requires in year. Prime-age women who are both work-free and child-free exhibit similar traits—especially those neither employed nor in education or training (called NEETs by economists). In 2020 they reportedly devoted even less time to household chores, taking care of other household members or getting out of the house than prime male labor-force dropouts—and allocated almost 11.5 hours a day to “personal time” (mainly sleep), more than any other group.”



 

tv watching

“Men 55 to 64 who were neither working nor looking for work … were kings of the screen, clocking in a self-reported 2,400 hours during 2020.”

tv watching

“Men 55 to 64 who were neither working nor looking for work … were kings of the screen, clocking in a self-reported 2,400 hours during 2020.”

So, what’s the bottom-line conclusion of all of this? Here at the Georgia Center for Opportunity, we are striving to create a culture that values work and helps all people — particularly disadvantaged populations — find meaningful, self-supporting work. There is a two-step process here:

  1. Policy solutions

A big problem standing in the way is a failing welfare system, one that traps people instead of serving them. Even if well-intentioned, the existing collection of complex and inefficient welfare programs is vast, disconnected, and dehumanizing. Tragically, it deprives people of the hope and dignity that comes with steady work and the government’s response to the pandemic only made these problems worse. That is why GCO advocates for welfare reform that streamlines and simplifies the safety net, while doing away with benefit cliffs that punish people for earning more and climbing the economic ladder.

  1. Community solutions

The solutions don’t stop at policy reform, however. We also need on-the-ground help. That’s what GCO’s BETTER WORK program is all about. Now operating in Gwinnett County and Columbus — but soon spreading to other areas of the state — BETTER WORK is about collaboration between key stakeholders in our communities to help people find work.

The mission of BETTER WORK has never been more important than it is today. As we continue to emerge from the economic fallout of the COVID-19 pandemic, the labor market will keep shifting in significant ways. No matter what that looks like, BETTER WORK’s approach and mission will play an important role.




 

Georgia Center for Opportunity is  the winner of the Bob Williams Award for Outstanding Policy Achievement

Georgia Center for Opportunity is the winner of the Bob Williams Award for Outstanding Policy Achievement

trophies for teams

Georgia Center for Opportunity is the winner of the Bob Williams Award for Outstanding Policy Achievement

Georgia Center for Opportunity is  the winner of the Bob Williams Award for Outstanding Policy Achievement. Erik Randolph, Director of Research, lead the charge in undertaking a massive research project which highlights the harms of COVID restrictions which took place around the country. The award specifically recognizes those doing “exceptional work to create and disseminate credible policy research and ideas.”

Georgia Center for Opportunity has been one of the host organizations for the State Policy Network’s Annual Meeting which is being held this week in Atlanta, GA. This is a gathering of organizations working on a state-level to promote realistic solutions to policy. It’s also a time for our team to collaborate with like-minded people and be inspired by new ideas and tactics.



 

“Bob Williams Awards for Outstanding Policy Achievement recognize state think tanks doing exceptional work to help states implement solutions that expand personal freedom and opportunity for all Americans.”

 

SPNAM2022

“Bob Williams Awards for Outstanding Policy Achievement recognize state think tanks doing exceptional work to help states implement solutions that expand personal freedom and opportunity for all Americans.”

Expert says despite improved federal data, Georgia still faces inflationary pressures

Expert says despite improved federal data, Georgia still faces inflationary pressures

In The News

Expert says despite improved federal data, Georgia still faces inflationary pressures

While the July and August Consumer Price Index numbers show “inflation has stalled,” a Georgia expert warns that “we’re not out of the woods yet.”

On Tuesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that the CPI rose 0.1% in August and 8.3% year-over-year.

“There are warning signals, including worldwide drought and continued energy disruptions, that inflation is not yet tamed,” Erik Randolph, the Georgia Center for Opportunity’s (GCO) director of research, said in a statement. “Moreover, Federal Reserve policy is refusing to allow the price level to come back down, meaning that most households will continue to contend with higher prices and lagging income growth.”

Meanwhile, a National Federation of Independent Business survey found optimism has improved, but inflation remains a challenge for small businesses.

Why student loan forgiveness plan is bad for the poor and working class

Why student loan forgiveness plan is bad for the poor and working class

student loan debt

Why student loan forgiveness plan is bad for the poor and working class

Key Points

  • A core part of our mission at the Georgia Center for Opportunity is to give the poor and working class a leg up on the economic ladder.
  • White House plan unfairly penalizes the poor and working classes, which disproportionately do not have college degrees and have not attended any college at all. 
  • Instead of loan forgiveness, we should work with borrowers to structure their loan repayments in a way that’s manageable but also helps them honor their commitments.
This week, the Biden administration announced a plan to forgive up to $20,000 in student loan debt for millions of Americans. The plan applies to households making up to $250,000 a year (or $125,000 for individuals), an income threshold that targets the middle class and upper middle class and many high-earning professionals.

A core part of our mission at the Georgia Center for Opportunity is to give the poor and working class a leg up on the economic ladder. This doesn’t come through cycles of generational government dependence, but through career training and credentialing that provides the pathway to fruitful full-time work and, ultimately, a better life.

We believe the White House’s plan is wrong on many levels, but a top way is the way it unfairly penalizes the poor and working classes, which disproportionately do not have college degrees and have not attended any college at all. 

Many of these individuals are working service-oriented jobs, entry-level positions, or laboring in the skilled trades. They are paying taxes. Yet under the Biden administration’s plan, they will bear the burden of paying off the student loans of their wealthier neighbors through their tax dollars.

Here are four additional ways that student loan forgiveness is ill-advised:

1. It will contribute to already high inflation

Another way this plan hurts the poor and working class is by increasing inflation. This demographic spends a disproportionate share of their income on essentials like food and gas that have seen the most dramatic price increases in recent months.

As the Brookings Institution points out, $10,000 in debt forgiveness “would involve a transfer that is about as large as the country has spent on welfare … since 2000 and exceeds the amount spent since then on feeding hungry school children in high-poverty schools through the school breakfast and lunch program.”

2. It doesn’t actually forgive anything

The White House has labeled the plan a “forgiveness” of student loan debt. But in reality, this approach simply transfers the burden onto the backs of taxpayers.


3. It penalizes hard-working Americans

We’ve already discussed how the poor and working classes are treated unfairly by this plan. But the unfairness extends to many middle class families as well who worked hard to pay off their student loans or their children’s student loans. Once again, government policy is punishing hard work.

4. Finally, it does nothing to address the affordability problem in higher education

According to Forbes, between 1980 and 2020, the cost of a college education jumped 169%. Meanwhile, the economic value of many four-year degrees has declined. The rapid inflation in the cost of college is, in large part, due to rampant government subsidies in higher education. Forgiving student loans only makes that problem worse.

The Success Sequence is a formula that outlines areas we can work in that will reduce poverty.

The Success Sequence is a formula that outlines areas we can work in that will reduce poverty.

A better way forward

Instead of loan forgiveness, we should work with borrowers to structure their loan repayments in a way that’s manageable but also helps them honor their commitments. We should also work to find a way to lower the cost of higher education to make it more affordable and encourage high school graduates to consider stable, good-paying jobs that do not require expensive college degrees.



Expert says despite improved federal data, Georgia still faces inflationary pressures

Gwinnett government departments will begin presenting 2023 budget requests on Monday

In The News

Gwinnett government departments will begin presenting 2023 budget requests on Monday

Although Brockway is a newbie on the team, he is no stranger to dealing with budget requests. As a member of the Georgia House of Representatives, Brockway served on the House Appropriations committee among other committees.

 

Videos of each department’s business plan presentation will be made available on TVGwinnett, which is the county’s government access channel. On-demand videos of each presentation will also be available on the county’s website, www.gwinnettcounty.com

 

The proposed 2023 county budget that the review team will help craft will be presented to the public in November. County officials are planning to hold a hearing on Dec. 5 and the Board of Commissioners will vote on the budget at the first board meeting in January 2023.

Expert says despite improved federal data, Georgia still faces inflationary pressures

New economic data shows that Georgia is outperforming many states

In The News

New economic data shows that Georgia is outperforming many states

Minnesota saw the best change in unemployment, while the District of Columbia reported the worst change, according to WalletHub. Nationwide, 18 states have recovered all their jobs lost due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Meanwhile, a Georgia non-profit is crediting Georgia’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic for its economic standing.

“While the White House is taking credit for the job recovery, the credit really belongs to just 18 states — and Georgia is among them,” Erik Randolph, director of research for the Georgia Center for Opportunity, said in a statement. “These states are the only ones who have recovered all their jobs lost to COVID-19 pandemic shutdowns.